Banca de DEFESA: ALANA TICIANE ALVES DO RÊGO

Uma banca de DEFESA de MESTRADO foi cadastrada pelo programa.
DISCENTE : ALANA TICIANE ALVES DO RÊGO
DATA : 04/07/2022
HORA: 09:00
LOCAL: videoconferência
TÍTULO:

SPATIO-TEMPORAL ANALYSIS OF THE INCIDENCE OF DENGUE IN THE CITY OF MOSSORÓ/RN BETWEEN THE YEARS 2010 TO 2020.

PALAVRAS-CHAVES:

Arbovirus; Aedes aegypti; Ecological study; Spatial statistics; Moran Global Index.

PÁGINAS: 97
GRANDE ÁREA: Outra
ÁREA: Ciências Ambientais
RESUMO:

Dengue is considered one of the most important public health problems in contemporary times. To better understand the dynamics of the disease and obtain more detailed information, smaller-scale studies have been increasingly discussed in epidemiological analyses. Therefore, the present study aimed to show a better delineation of the dengue landscape in the municipality of Mossoró in the state of Rio Grande do Norte between 2010 and 2020, to identify priority and vulnerable regions in the studied area. A descriptive ecological study of reported cases of dengue was carried out in 27 neighborhoods and an urban area of the residents of the municipality in question, obtained through data from the Information System of Notifiable Diseases (SINAN). For data summarization and behavioral analysis, disease incidence rates were investigated from a descriptive perspective of central tendency and dispersion parameters. In order to verify the geographic dependence and show the dynamics of dengue, an analysis of the gross, empirical Bayesian global and local rates was carried out using spatial autocorrelation techniques such as the univariate indices of Moran Global and Local. During the study period, there was a significant increase in incidence rates, with a peak of the disease in 2018. It was also observed that a total of 65,58% of the cases reported in the areas of the municipality had a record of high incidences in the range of 11 years, characterizing an epidemic transmission in the municipality. In addition, when analyzing the pattern of geographic units, it was found that the spatial distribution in absolute number of cases and in incidence rate occurred significantly in the Santo Antônio neighborhood. Although an medium/high spatial dependence on the observed dengue rates was not obtained, a formation of clusters with similar values was identified in the peripheral areas of the urban area, whose urban development took place in an accelerated way, assuming that the agglomeration population is configured as one of the indicators of dengue outbreak in Mossoró. The results represent useful information for the implementation of more robust and better targeted actions against dengue prevention and control, especially in semi-arid regions where environmental conditions favor vector reproduction and contribute to epidemics.

MEMBROS DA BANCA:
Presidente - 4253 - ALFREDO MARCELO GRIGIO
Externo à Instituição - FLAVIO HENRIQUE MIRANDA DE ARAUJO FREIRE
Externa à Instituição - ZORAIDE SOUZA PESSOA - UFRN